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Do House Prices Need to Fall?
Canadians are feeling the squeeze of high housing costs, and the debate over affordability is intensifying. Recently, Federal Housing Minister Gregor Robertson suggested that average house prices need to fall to restore affordability. But what does “affordable” really mean, and how can prices realistically adjust? Housing affordability is typically measured by comparing shelter costs—including mortgage…
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Looking for Cockroaches – Assessing Risk in the Private Credit Market
Last week, some of the biggest names in American finance flagged emerging challenges in the credit market. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, Citi Group CEO Jane Fraser, and Apollo’s Marc Rowan each highlighted potential risks in recent statements. Dimon opened the week with a stark warning about the private credit market, noting that “when you see…
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CMHC – Why It’s Time to Rip Off the Band-Aid
CMHC is unique among federal entities. As a Crown Corporation, it carries out securitization and insurance operations under a corporate mandate while also receiving public funding for federal policy initiatives. Once funding is allocated, CMHC reports to its board rather than the minister responsible on a day-to-day basis. This differs from the typical departmental reporting…
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Employment Rises in September Amid Mixed Trends
After two consecutive months of job losses, Canada’s labour market showed renewed signs of life in September. Statistics Canada reported that employment rose by 60,000, lifting the national employment rate 0.1 percentage points to 60.6 per cent, while the unemployment rate held at 7.1 per cent. A decline in part-time positions was offset by gains…
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Addressing Social Housing Mismatches Amid Government Inertia
Canada’s social housing system is under strain. Most of the country’s social housing stock was built by the federal government decades ago, but development slowed significantly in the 1980s following federal program cutbacks. In the 1990s, responsibility for social housing shifted to the provinces, and many, including Ontario, subsequently delegated it to municipalities—many of which…
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U.S. Government Shutdown – What’s the Impact?
With Washington at an impasse, the U.S. government shut down on October 1, the start of the federal 2026 fiscal year, after Congress failed to pass a funding bill. While government shutdowns have historically been short lived, this one feels different. So far, markets remain unfazed. The shutdown presents two key challenges for the economy:…
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Rent-to-Own – A Pathway to Affordability
As the government focuses on expanding rental housing, one option stands out as a practical pathway to home ownership: rent-to-own (or lease-to-purchase) arrangements. These programs allow tenants to rent a home while preparing financially to buy it. Typically, the homeowner acts as the landlord, and the tenant occupies the property until they either exercise the…
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