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Is Housing a Drag on the Economy?
According to CIBC Economics, falling home prices and eroding real estate wealth are creating a negative wealth effect that is acting as a significant headwind for consumer spending in Canada. Conventional economic theory holds that changes in household wealth are an important driver of economic activity, influencing household consumption decisions. The permanent income hypothesis, for…
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Canada’s Housing Market — Are We Near the Bottom?
Canada’s housing market appears to have found a floor, as recent resale data suggest homebuying activity is picking up after a weak start to the year. June data show existing home sales rose 0.9 per cent from a year earlier and 0.5 per cent from May on a seasonally adjusted basis, while new listings fell…
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Inflation Cools in June as Core Pressures Ease
Headline inflation eased to 2.8 per cent year-over-year in June, down from 3.2 per cent in May, according to Statistics Canada. Consumer prices fell 0.4 per cent month-over-month — the largest monthly decline since December 2024 — while the seasonally adjusted decline was a more modest 0.1 per cent, marking the first monthly decrease since…
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Individual and Institutional Investors in the Canadian Housing Market
Statistics Canada recently released a report that examines the size and role of residential property investors in Prince Edward Island, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, Ontario, Manitoba, and British Columbia, using 2022 assessed-value data from the Canadian Housing Statistics Program. Investors are grouped into six categories, ranging from individuals who own a small number of rental…
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Slowing Population Growth Helps Drive Unemployment Rate Lower
Canada’s labour market showed modest improvement in June 2026. Employment increased by approximately 18,000 positions (+0.1 per cent), slightly exceeding consensus forecasts of roughly 10,000, while the unemployment rate edged down 0.1 percentage points to 6.5 per cent, its lowest level in nearly two years and well below last year’s peak of 7.1 per cent….
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AI in Mortgage Lending – Still a Work in Progress
Artificial intelligence is often described as a transformative force in mortgage lending, but its presence in the industry is far from new. What has changed is the scale, sophistication, and reach of the technology, particularly in how lenders process documents, assess risk, and manage the vast amounts of data that underpin every loan decision. In…
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U.S. Inflation Reaches a Three-Year High in May
U.S. consumer price inflation continued its upward climb in May, with the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising 0.5 per cent month-over-month, in line with consensus expectations. On a year-over-year basis, prices increased 4.2 per cent, the highest reading in three years and a notable acceleration from the 3.8 per cent recorded in April. May…
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