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Mortgage Rule Change Could Affect Number of People Buying Houses in Calgary

2 February 2011

On Monday, the federal Finance Minister
announced the changes to be made in mortgage rules to counter the possibility of
a housing bubble. The three significant changes
include:

  • Decrease in the maximum period for pay back from
    35 years to 30 years. The limit was brought down from 40 year to 35 years
    in 2008 October.
  • The maximum limit for refinance lowered from 90%
    to 85% of the property value. The limit was brought down from 95% to 90%
    in 2010 April.
  • Withdrawal of the government backed The first two changes will be effective from March 18 while the third one will
    be effective from April 18. Lowered payback time will affect new home buyers
    and the demand is likely to see a dip. According to the Finance Minister, the
    withdrawal of home equity line of credit insurance is particularly important as
    its increased popularity was one of chief factors causing increased housing
    debts. The changes will also help Bank of Canada avoid policy rate hike, which
    would have had harmful effects outside the housing sector as well. 

    The Bank of Nova Scotia senior economist Adrienne Warren opines that these changes
    will result in lowered real estate activity. The carrying cost of a house is
    raised by $100 on an average due to the change in pay back rules. People will
    be induced to take debts of smaller amounts than before.

    Calgary Real Estate Board’s outgoing president Diane Scott said that the
    changes will have a minimal effect. ATB Financial senior economist is of a
    similar opinion and supports the government move, calling it a positive
    precautionary step. According to TD Bank Financial group senior economist
    Pascal Gauthier, the changes would affect sale of around 20,000 homes
    throughout Canada, weakening the sale price on an average by a percent.

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