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Will Higher Rates Slow the Housing Market Recovery?
Employment rose by 60,000 in June with full-time employment up 110,000. Despite this increase in overall employment, the unemployment rate moved from 5.2% in May to 5.4% in June. While growth in employment is strong in all sectors, it was not enough to compensate for the new entrants into the labour force as the population…
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Anticipating the Bank of Canada’s Next Move
The Bank of Canada is seeing the economy performing better than expected with inflation remaining higher than desired. The Bank moved off the sidelines last month and raised rates by 25 basis points. The question is, will the Bank raise the overnight rate by another 25 basis points this month? Below we look at the…
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Taking Stock of the Affordable Housing Market
Following the Bank of Canada’s decision to pause interest rate hikes, the housing market has experienced a significant rebound, with sales and average home prices increasing by 21% and 13%, respectively. However, the June rate hike and the anticipation of future rate hikes threaten to temper market expectations and underscore the persistent challenges of housing…
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Can Investors be Blamed for Higher Housing Prices?
The Canadian Housing Statistic Program (CHSP) has highlighted the activities of investors in the housing market. As we have noted, there are significant problems in how this data has been categorized. Investors include: governments for profit businesses individuals not resident in the province individuals resident in the province owning a property with more than one…
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Is Another Rate Increase in the Cards?
After a string of stronger than expected economic data and firm inflation readings, the Bank of Canada ended its rate pause and hiked its policy rate by 25 basis points on June 7. This lifted the target for the overnight rate to 4.75%. Market expectations were relatively split on whether the Bank would hike or…
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Finding Investors in all the Wrong Places
Statistics Canada has been highlighting the role of investors in the housing market. A recent study of five provinces, including BC and Ontario, found that over 25% of dwellings are owned by investors as of 2020. The problem is that the StatsCan report is misleading. As noted by two housing researchers in BC, Jens von…
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GTA Condo Market – Investors Needed
A recent report from CIBC and Urbanation paints a challenging future for new condo investors and the prospects for condo construction in the GTA. According to their analysis, nearly three-quarters (72%) of condo rental investors tend to buy new units as opposed to resale, with an average gap of five years between the purchase and…
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